Developers: The rubber the time is having capital strong house price

The estate discounted appears. Is busy with looked that Shanghai white-collar Ye Li recently had the surprised discovery: At the end of August Pudong Zhou Kang Dequ promotes a high-level housing stock, recently two in the weekend had 9.5 to fold the preferential benefit. In addition, some well-known Fang Qi attended to the village tectonic plate promoting one batch of even price in Baoshan newly is 11,000 Yuan/a square meter housing stock, during some time ago teachers’ day, has done the highest 40,000 Yuan price reduction preferential benefit.

Just like Ye Li observes, in the near future a part city real estate market had the temperature decrease situation. When, real estate market inflection point, gambling of market all quarters will still continue.

The rationality regards the temperature decrease sign

After some time’s fast growth, a part city real estate market has the temperature decrease. Easy to occupy statistical data in China to demonstrate that on September 7~13, the Shanghai newly-built residential building deal even price was 15353 Yuan/square meter, slightly dropped 1.5% compared with the preceding week. Hence, the Shanghai residential building deal even price receded consecutively for 4 weeks. On September 14~20, the Shanghai residential building even price had 1.42% rising slightly, but the turnover was only 312,600 square meters, the link ratio slid to 4.22%. In fact, after the temperature decrease of real estate market is the market self-adjusting inevitable result. Combs nearly 6 month related statistical data, is not difficult to discover an urban real estate market decreases temperature road map. In March the Shanghai residential building turnover rises month by month fast, achieves 2.19 million square meters high spots to June, afterward the link compares then appears falls. In August, although the Shanghai residential building supply amounts to 1.45 million square meters, is since this year highest, but the turnover is only 1.66 million square meters, the link ratio falls 14.5%. Enters in September, the turnover still continues to wither. Situation in Guangzhou is also similar, the month turnover achieves 1.41 million square meters high spots after May, then month by month falls; August’s turnover is only 610,000 square meters, the link ratio falls 15.7%.

Real estate market fluctuation difficult word inflection point

According to the analysis, since this year the house price fast rise and investment demand boost is close, for instance the Shanghai mansion August’s in odd-numbered month turnover exceeds in the first half of the year the sum total, from this real estate market even price once approached 20,000 Yuan/square meter. But when the house price slight increase, the rigid demand has suffered the compression, waits and sees the atmosphere to reappear. Along with the upscale house and mansion finalized a deal the decrement, housing’s even price recede are unexpected.

Because this kind of fluctuation is under the market discipline leadership very normal phenomenon, judgment real estate market inflection point obvious basis is in light of this insufficient. First, a part city’s temperature decrease sign was partial, more urban real estate markets were still elevating still temperature. Before Chinese real estate industry association vice-chairman Zhu first, openly indicated that to the nation, many real estate targets is rising, , even if completes the land the development area and new operation area to drop, but the link compares is rising, the enterprise capital funds are rising, real estate development investment’s proportion also in rising, does not want, because sliding of urban sales volume said that is inflection point.

Next, cannot explain the individual estate’s discounting phenomenon excessively. Perhaps in house price catwalk above the occasional reduction, is only the developer plays slightly laughs uproariously, its influence almost may ignore.

, Through since this year irritable sale, the developer re-steamed the great quantity fund, earns trough Man Boman. Specially to going on the market Fang Qi, but also has issued additionally and other methods to solicit the huge fund from the stock market through the direction detection; Speaking of the state-owned enterprise particularly Yang business, in the fluidity maintained under the loose environment, gained the bank credit to be easier, not bad money. Some developed investment in enterprise department’s managers to tell the reporter other day, according to the present condition in company, even if the following anything did not do, supported for one year not to have question. Therefore, the developer both does not have domestic trouble, and does not have foreign aggression, in home-buyer gambling, the heavy palm initiative, not collapsed the plate risk.

In addition, but should also see that while real estate market relatively light, an urban land market is still very active. On September 10, Shanghai Putuo strong wind from afar ecology commercial district strong wind from afar 6B (B6), the 7C two land parcels are delivered the price 7.006 billion Yuan to pick by Haiti, surmounts the previous Beijing broad ditch road No. 15 land parcel and Shanghai Qingpu District Zhao lane land parcel two sky-high price kings at one fell swoop, becomes this year the king to compete the new pacemaker. The above strong wind from afar land parcel’s floor soil-rent value has reached as high as 22409 Yuan/square meter. Xiamen is popular the property to bid 1.047 billion Yuan to take a Xiamen Siming land parcel permanently in the near future, the floor soil-rent value is 30940 Yuan/square meter, becomes the local most expensive land parcel. Above so high land price, will the house price be high to what kind of degree? The professionals estimate, take each square meter 22000 Yuan floor soil-rent value as the example, in addition Jianan cost, selling costs and each kind of taxes and fees, house price, when/above square meter has the obvious profit to be possible in 50,000 Yuan to attempt. In other words, Wang Ruguo begins construction, accomplishment will be one batch of sky-high price mansion. May estimate, if laissez faire, no matter, a wave house price rising tide is gathers the potential due-out, discussed what inflection point!

The real estate market structure accelerates to split up

Regarding the rigidity and improvement demand, the newest market price were deciding whether the home-buyer will get rid; But said to the investment demand, important is not at present the house price is high is low, whether there is but will be the future to continue to rise and to realize the revaluation space. The above real estate market and prefecture, the rigid demand and investment demand totally different situation, reflects this kind of fact: Real estate market’s structure is accelerating to split up, each kind of demand itself and is very obvious to the anticipated difference in market, just like various social strata’s income height is disparate. This fine level which regulates regarding the government proposed a higher test.

Just like Council Development Research Center finance research manager Xia Bin believes in the signed article that the regulative housing market, must first safeguard each citizen to have the most minimum right of occupancy basically, needs to a part of income level low family, to safeguard by the non-marketability low-rent housing form; But facing other improvement housing and house prices falling, does not need to be panic-stricken, should have the function by the market discipline as far as possible.

Article/Ye Feng

(This article originates: North new newspaper)