Russia will help the US to cope with “Iran to threaten the _New China international _New China net

    On July 6, in Russian capital Moscow, Russian President Medvedev (right) met with the reporter with visit US President Ao Bama together. Xinhua News Agency Reporter Lu Jinbo absorbs

    US President Pama about giving up in Eastern Europe deploying that speech of the missile defense system pulled Russia, US to share the Gabara radar station’s question once again. Does the US missile defense system finally determine in Azerbaijan?

    On September 20, US Joint Chiefs of Staff joint conference vice-president Cartwright pointed out that according to the American new missile defense system plan, the Pentagon prepares to substitute for Czechoslovakia, in Caucasus area deployment early time early warning radar. Which country but makes concrete, Cartwright had not disclosed.

    US military high-level this statement denied indirectly in the Mideast deployment missile defense system’s hearsay. American defense research center person in charge DavidJonson believes that the media about “constructs the new ABM base in Israel and Turkey” news is not realistic.

    On September 24, military analyst Jia law Rove when accepting newspaper reporter interviewed said that since the US gave up deploys the missile defense system in Czechoslovakia and Poland, then most impossible was in addition chooses the place in Yugoslavian Caucasus area. The reason is very simple, Poland, Czechoslovakia are the NATO member, may restore to deploy at any time anti-ballistic. But what the US is interested is the Caucasus area, and tries hard through the deployment missile defense system one and solves the Gabara radar station question.

    United States Senate Michigan senator CullArranges in order the article to believe that the Gabara radar station is a latent cooperation direction. But the global scale all band anti-ballistic supervisory system which expected regarding the US, it is only a supplement role. According to this senator, this question has included in 2010 the national defense act, enters the next United States Congress meeting schedule. This named S1390 number bill’s document in fact is dives about US and Russia in certain military targets anti-ballistic domain developments the cooperation report. What report special attention is between the monitoring ballistic missile’s country and organization the exchange early time early warning information, including Russia the information which obtains in Gabara and Al Marvel’s radar station.

    Regardless of temporarily gives up the Eastern European missile defense system, is not yet explicit in the Caucasus missile defense system, has not changed the US to publicize regards as Iran threatens this prerequisite. Looking from the military angle, if regards as the Iranian missile one kind of realistic threat, is monitoring and intercepts the facility from the threat source nearer place deployment is very realistic, conforms to logic. Moreover, if truly involves the global missile defense system, then the Gabara radar station may take a part, because this is only one large-scale to the Mideast, and occupies surveillance facility in relatively stable national Azerbaijan. Therefore, if the US must establish a global system finally, then the Gabara radar station may play the role.

    The cooperation was not bright using the Gabara radar station prospect

    The analysts believe that now can believe firmly to say not necessarily very much, Moscow and Washington will use the Gabara radar station jointly.

    The western observers believe that US and Russia are decided in this cooperation of domain by several big factors: First, US-Russia bilateral relations progress. After all, “restarts” unable to equate to Russia relations desire by far in the relations between the two countries reality.

    Second, Moscow is not willing with NATO to carry out the constructive cooperation also to have the influence to the cooperation of Russia, US in this question. However, if this kind “constructive nature” refers to NATO secretary-general to propose Russia to join NATO’s suggestion, then this similarly is motive unclear wishful thinking.

    Third, US whether to unfold consolidated and Russia cooperation endeavor. The analyst pointed out that the US had similar system in Turkey, to need Russia also to establish own radar system in Mexico?! Father of George deceased containment theoryKennan had said: “Occurs compared to the US after the cold war with Russia conflicts a bigger mistake is NATO advances to the Russian boundary.”Russia’s standpoint was very explicit, opposed that deploys any form in Caucasus the missile defense system.

    The analysts believe that considered the US needs to solve the more complex geopolitical opponent Iran’s problem, if nucleus threat of Iran continues to strengthen, then has the vital significance with cooperation of Russia, but both sides whether will change a closer cooperation to be very also difficult to say. The US stops in Czechoslovakia deploying the missile defense system temporarily, but has not changed to threatening the object judgment, definitely will seek another way to come effectively to contain the so-called Iranian threat. British Cross Atlantic Academic society president Norman thinks: “East North Sea and Mediterranean Sea deployed that the sea-based system may be used to protect Europe, moreover may take the supplement in Turkish and Israel’s ground-based system, similarly may study in the Balkan region deploys this system’s possibility.”

    At the same time, has the secret deal in US and Russia the view, the US through developing the SM-3 system substitution prevents the short range missile threat defending missile, eliminated between friction US-Russia, but, does Russia prepare to help the US to eliminate nucleus threat of Iran? According to Azerbaijanian military analyst Lieder RemMamedov’s view, the US well is monitoring Iran’s territory now , because obtains the information which from Russia needs frequently. In other words, US and Russia were sharing the Gabara radar station’s monitoring information.

    According to Arab League Ministry of Foreign Affairs’s view, deployed that the missile defense system deploys the facility and in the anti-ballistic domain respectively with American cooperation is two different questions. The US gives up in Eastern Europe deploying missile defense system, can only understand that opens the global missile defense system question discussion’s first step for both sides. At present is also only the inference. As for Russia, US together using Gabara radar station’s question, although is very hopeful, but is also only the first step. Just like Russia chief of the general staff Makalufu said that the Russia, US cooperation’s possibility has, but is also far from the global joint anti-ballistic missile system at present, has not involved the so concrete negotiations.

(Chief-editor: Feng Yanqiang)