Three great angle of view explanation world economic trend

New China net Beijing, November 12 – topic: Three great angle of view explanation world economic trend

New China net recording

On November 12, 2009, Beijing. Takes financial reconstruction with promotes after Jinan international to discuss the world to hold in this mile for the subject, the package includes some Nobel economic study prize winner and world-class financial institution people in charge renowned economic scientists gathers to discuss the world, exchanges the whole world after the Jinan situation, searches to ask for the world the trend of development which has not come after Jinan.

When this, the distance leaves rarely the global financial crisis had more than one year. While the current whole world reveals after Jinan temporarily to the good sign, world after Jinan whether entered the periodic recovery channel, has not come the whole world to grow to present what kind of standard bureau after Jinan, this some questions become the world to stare at item of Jiao Dian.

The global economic reveals temporarily to good sign

The position in the Zhejiang Ningbo technology zone in river, is the whole world after one of Jinan active areas. Several months ago, before this mile some factory doors, the weed vine fresh picture, now this mile is crowded, vehicle goes through. From July, once passed through the vehicles which produces at the beginning of the year Guan Menting to welcome business industry moves into numerously. But according to provides the fitting product for the European and American manufacturers Psi rather bears compared to electronic limited company chairman long Zhang Lijie Shao, before the item, company’s subscribing single increase has the bounce, are also more than with the labor quantity March more than a time.

Together bounce also has China after Jinan. The State Statistical Bureau bureau recently issued number according to demonstration, China after Jinan’s speed-up compared to the same period, already after from the first quarter 6.1%, second quarter 7.9%, on rise to the third quarter 8.9%, the whole year guarantees eight has not hung reads.

In world another end, US country after Jinan after passing through underwent the first several quarter decline also beginning the dew to grow shu the light. In the third quarter the US country after Jinan according to the annual rate idea calculated that grew 3.5%, after realizing continues four quarters slide to the first time growth continually.

The world each greatly important economic body body presents the varying degrees to grow. The EU commission will forecast that European Union the quarter will realize the link compared to growing after Jinan in the third quarter of this year 0.2%, thus walks the decline officially. Japanese Think tank also forecast that Japan the quarter will grow 2.2% after Jinan in the third quarter of this year, realizes the second quarter continues the growth continually.

Starts out in various countries force formula under function, the whole world appears after Jinan gets sick greatly beginning recovers the sign. The international goods coin fund organization recently was publishing “World To forecast Report after Jinan” judges: Decides Asia after the Jinan robust performance and its his area after Jinan steadily or slow slow extensive duplicate draws, the world resembles to realize after Jinan grows.This organization therefore whole world grows 2009 after Jinan anticipated that from July forecasts the negative growth 1.4% to raise to the negative growth 1.1%.

The body presently passes through the Jinan liveness picking to buy the manager person to refer to counts (PMI) to walk unceasingly high. Global financial market aspect, before item, fluidity already place in throughout history widest pine’s level. On the one hand this implements the quota wide loose policy to cut with various countries’ Central Bank to close densely, on the other hand the surface also indicated that the market risk mood has disappeared to disperse by the step, the investor letter heart turned round by the step extensively.

Based on before the item situation judgment, Australian Asia, moved prestige, India and other countries Yu Riqian to withdraw the expansion after the Jinan policy, had the economic scientist after starting to ask for discusses the global thorn to stir up the withdrawal question which delimited after the Jinan idea.

Continuously appears the advantage good number according to resembling to let the people long extend the one breath. Some time ago one time after Jinan situation seminar meeting, before the international goods coin fund organization, the chief economist scientist Sutter Italy wore a black tie to attend the conference. Black tie is I attend funeral decides the attire especially, reason that now the day chooses it, now what because is I attended is the ` whole world after Jinan crisis’s mourning ritual’.Sa said.

The endogenous power lacks the recovery prospect to throw new moon

Perhaps the crisis is going far away, but whole world after Jinan whether true step enters to recover the channel, its prospect actually dense fog layer on layer.

Tom Vera lives is leaving the Washington urban district 45 minutes vehicle regulation a middle class society area, the society area has the upscale tour swimming pool and golf course. However too speaking of Vera, You Yonghe played a ball game to resemble becomes extravagant extravagant. To buy clothes by the former my each month month possible flower 600 US Yuan. Now I basically cannot go to the market.

A Vera situation in North America works as universal. Number which according to US Country Department of commercial affairs recently announced according to demonstration, in October the US country consumer letter heart points to the number link ratio to pelt 5.7, drops to 47.7. European Union’s retail commodity turnover volume also for many months continuously drops, EU country’s occupying people savings ratio rate on rises, to disappear to spend unceasingly to further reduce. Although the Japanese family disappears to spend to increase 1% compared to the same period, but the Japanese family may match to receive in the same month into actually compared to the same period to reduce 0.4% , to continue for 4 months to present the drop continually.

Consumer regarding not came to receive into anticipated still however very Bei Guan, this mood very possibly caused them to disappear Fei Wangji to shrink the expenditure at the end of the year tightly.The large-scale world business industry federation grinds to investigate central person in charge lynne Franco elder brother said.

Number which provides according to the international goods coin fund organization according, up to June, the G20 industrial nations members to deal with the crisis receive each kind to puncture the capital Jin gauge mold which after Jinan the violent idea delimits to involve already after close 12 trillion US Yuan. Although this handles executes however leads the whole world to bounce after Jinan in very short time, but this kind of bounce is government drives to a great extent, as passing through Jinan recovery’s power, disappears to spend continually personally has not obtained effectively extensive duplicate, the whole world recovered after Jinan still however lacked deficiency endogenetic.

Outside this, the one who made global economic scientist to be generally anxious, under the unemployment rate stayed at a high level, the government wealth politics red character following continuing the inflation and trade easy protectionism to lift the prime factor, let in the short-term the world be winding after Jinan Lu in of Chongman recovery.

The US country in October the unemployment rate creates for 26 years new high, some organizations predict that Europe and America’s unemployment rate in has not possibly come for two years both to achieve 10% by on. “World after Jinan Forecast” reported warned that the high unemployment rate will still continue some time.

US country economic scientist plan said that the US country Pang Da wealth politics red character is difficult to sustain, once the US Yuan appears censures the value largely, the inflation adds the play, the world possibly faces the new impact after Jinan, to is two times searches the bottom.

Permits the multi-economic scientist to having to add play’s trade easy protectionism to express the anxiety. The recall history, the wild raging’s trade was easy to protect, breaks delivers 1930 to bounce the prospect after Jinan, let at that time the world finally crash into the great depression after Jinan the abyss.

World entered the bounce time after Jinan, slides after stopping stops. But this kind bounces whether to transform to recover continually, but also has the struggle to discuss. Recovers the power by Yu Quefa, has not come for 1-2 years possibly step to enter the low fast rise period.China Society meets the academy of science world grows Zhang Yuyan after Jinan and political research institute this type of judgment.

The technical breakthrough will expedite the world economic growth new pattern

The world indicated after the Jinan history that global each time big toward toward can bring to have the throwing of pattern and standard bureau after the Jinan crisis old abandons, simultaneously will be following the technical new breakthrough, expedites the emergent industry, forms newly after the Jinan point of growth, grows the new standard bureau and new pattern appearance belt for the world after Jinan finally possibly comes.

Whole world can see after the Jinan standard bureau with my past ten years the situation has very big difference. Past Fan Rong could not leave the vigor which the US country disappeared to spend massively, now US country family’s Chu gathers after in chasing on step rises, this regarding has not come global trade Yi Geju to export the belt to move the growth by and emerging market country the development model to have the material effect.The US country Ministry of Finance department stationed in China caused Du Dawei recently to express after Jinan and finance especially.

The whole world must seek urgently looks newly to after the Jinan point of growth. China Society meets academy of science vice-president long Li Yang to believe that last century discipline the 70’s-80’s, in passing through underwent the previous round wide range after the Jinan crisis, the whole world depends upon the high tech the industrial production, leads more than 20 years Fan Rong for the world after Jinan. Now, this round the technological base power which will grow after Jinan after disappearing to consume the danger completely, to pass through Jinan society very difficultly will create the new opportunity.

I after realizing the root of this crisis am a technical crisis, is a technical industrial production crisis, to recover after Jinan and needs to seek after the Jinan healthy development looks for the new technological base.Li Yang said.

Now the world, some major countries to deal with this crisis, have seized the struggle after a Jinan science and technology commanding point achievement fight slightly the key point, throws the capital to take the most important war the scientific innovation slightly to throw the capital, developing Gao Jizhu and industry moves the war slightly breach which as the belt can develop after Jinan society.

US President Ao Bama green economic revival program will take the most important task, proposed that must establish US’s in new energy competition leading position as soon as possible, must become the clean energy the export powerhouse. European Union has formulated a development environmental protection economy the intermediate stage plan, plans from 2009 to 2013 five years to raise 105 billion euros, making has the international standard and global competitiveness with all one’s strength green industry.

China State Council Premier Wen Jiabao referred to other day, the development emerging strategic industry, is I bases current crosses the difficult pass, on the eye long-term horizontal heavy war slightly to choose. Chooses Guan Jianhu heart technique technique, will decide the emerging strategic industry direct pass firmly is my country will develop the overall situation and national security after Jinan society.

The world after Jinan by a rare crisis, is making clear to the whole world after birth of Jinan, the science and technology is also will newly certainly to enter from this to one unprecedented creation Xinmi collection time, the people have the reason to believe that science and technology the emergent industry which eagerly anticipates after Jinan will become not to come to push the world after Jinan to develop the prime move quantity. (Holds the pen: Chen two thick \ Wang Yucai writes: Qiao Jihong \ fence space \ ginger sharp) (this article originates: New China net)