Ukraine election pro Russia sends or wins the beautiful woman premier to fight to win or die

Round the world Times special correspondent Li Xue reported that according to Russian “Official newspaper” on 19th the news, President of Ukraine elected will hold on next January 17, today, various parties have promoted own presidential candidate. The experts unify the existing support level statistical analysis to believe that the support level will arrange in first two local party leader Yanukovich and incumbent premier Jimoshenke will enter the second round contention. Maintains many years Ukraine “triangle politics” has the possibility to be broken after this election.

According to the R&BGroup statistics of Corporation, at present Yanukovich’s support level is 30.2%, but Jimoshenke support level is 18.5%. If these two people enter the second round contention, then Yanukovich will defeat Jimoshenke by 13% superiority.

What the support level is listed at third is former speaker Asia picks Niuke, achieves 8.9%. But the similar announcement will participate in this election the incumbent president Yushchenko’s support level did not have over 4%.

Many experts analyze to believe that obtains the president position hopefully is Yanukovich and Jimoshenke, Yanukovich’s stratagem which ensures success is biggest. Since long, enjoys Ukraine east voters support Yanukovich to adopt the policy in pro Russia. Therefore, if Yanukovich comes on stage, then Ukraine’s diplomatic direction will have the big change.

The Ukraine politics expert the branch believes richly first, although is only from the support level general third, but former speaker Asia picked Niuke energy still unable to belittle. He believes that Asia picks Niuke not to complete own campaign strategy, he first strives to hope that Ukraine joins European Union and NATO support of western voter’s, afterward on the east voter the gambling game, this kind “swing strategy” lets him lose points many. Rich the branch believes first, after the first round election suffers defeat, rich the branch will use own support level to make the chip receiving in exchange political resource first. Rich the branch forecasts to believe first that Asia picks Niuke to have the possibility to win under the premise to seek premier in Yanukovich, but after Yushchenko is defeated, the Ukraine present government members will also mobilize their supporter to cast Yanukovich’s ticket, thus preserves in the government small space.

At the same time, rich the branch also proposed another kind of possibility edition first: Yanukovich is the president, but Jimoshenke is premier. He explains said that in second round competition, Jimoshenke has the possibility to earn 7-8% supports again, likely had the similarity in all previous election, as the matter stands she will be reduced with Yanukovich’s disparity, grasps administrative resource Jimoshenke to have the possibility to use in the hand the authority to accuse Yanukovich extremely to corrupt practices, the performance is similar “color revolution” protest activities, “, if this, Yanukovich has the possibility to achieve the compromise with Jimoshenke extremely, is the premier by Jimoshenke.”

Rich added first that Yanukovich will prevent this kind of change to appear, “, because he needs one to look like Asia to pick Niuke not to have equally, when the president ambition’s person is the premier, but does not look like Jimoshenke such strong person.”

On July 18, Yushchenko and his supporter have reached the Ukraine high point together – western Carpathian Mountains Govier mountain, to demonstrate one reelection bid the determination. But the murky support level lets his difficult word be optimistic.

The Ukraine media believes that the Ukraine politics continuously by Yushchenko, Jimoshenke and Yanukovich is acted the lead “triangle politics”, three people of between interactions often may decide the Ukraine internal affairs diplomacy the trend. But Yushchenko’s murky support level indicates that now this political pattern after will be broken soon. (Li Xue translation)

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